In this episode of the Business of Tech podcast, host Dave Sobel discusses the financial strain on small businesses, insights from the latest U.S. economic reports, and the soaring adoption of AI in small and mid-sized businesses. He highlights key industry updates such as Amazon retiring a checkout technology, Microsoft pushing upgrades, and Google enhancing workspace security. Market conditions are reviewed, including the downturn in the Russell 2000 index and the challenges faced by U.S. small business owners amidst high inflation and hiring difficulties.
Three things to know today
00:00 Financial Strain on Small Businesses: Insights from the Latest US Economic Reports
03:31 AI Adoption Soars in SMB and Midmarket Sectors: Channel Partners Poised for Growth
05:51 Amazon Retires Checkout Tech, Microsoft Pushes Upgrades, and Google Bolsters Workspace Security
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[00:00:00] It's Monday, April 15, 2024, and I'm Dave Sobel, three things to know today.
[00:00:07] The financial strain on small businesses insights from the latest U.S. economic reports.
[00:00:12] AI adoption soars in S&B and mid-market.
[00:00:16] Channel partners are poised for growth.
[00:00:19] Amazon retires a checkout technology.
[00:00:21] Microsoft pushes upgrades.
[00:00:23] And Google bolsters work space security.
[00:00:27] This is the Business of Tech.
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[00:01:20] Kicking off a new week, let's look at some of the latest market conditions.
[00:01:26] The Russian trade has given a bunch.
[00:01:29] The Russell 2000 index lost approximately 3% during the previous seven days.
[00:01:35] Down turn comes as investors grapple with various concerns, including rising interest
[00:01:39] rates, inflation and geopolitical tensions.
[00:01:42] The small cap market has been a significant driver of growth in the US equity landscape
[00:01:47] and has recently faced headwinds.
[00:01:49] BS&P 600 is down 5.19% month to date.
[00:01:53] Small business owners has reached an 11-year low due to high inflation, hiring difficulties
[00:01:59] and tight financial conditions.
[00:02:01] The Small Business Optimism Index dropped to its lowest level since December 2012, with
[00:02:07] inflation being the top concern for owners.
[00:02:11] The unemployment rate may have dropped, but 37% of owners reported unfilled job openings.
[00:02:17] Economist Mohammad El-Iran sees this drop in confidence as a sign of a looming slowdown
[00:02:23] in the US economy.
[00:02:25] The latest Consumer Price Index report indicates that inflation in the US is higher than expected,
[00:02:30] potentially impacting plans to lower interest rates.
[00:02:33] The CPI rose 0.4% in March with poor CPI rising at an annualized pace of 4.5% in the last
[00:02:41] three months.
[00:02:42] This could lead to a shift in the Federal Reserve's interest rate projections and
[00:02:46] limit the number of rate cuts this year.
[00:02:49] But there is particularly good news for anyone with a small business and credit cards.
[00:02:53] Visa and MasterCard have reached a major settlement with merchants to cut and cap credit card
[00:02:59] processing fees, resulting in expected savings of at least $29.8 billion for US businesses.
[00:03:07] Merchants will have more flexibility in adjusting prices for good sold via credit
[00:03:11] cards, with fee rates expected to decrease over the next several years.
[00:03:17] Why Do We Care?
[00:03:19] A win for credit card fees is a win for most small businesses.
[00:03:23] Let's take it.
[00:03:24] Now, before we overthink the market, let's see what it means to technology.
[00:03:29] On to that data.
[00:03:33] And some insight on opportunities.
[00:03:35] According to Tech Isle's research, AI adoption in SMBs and mid-market presents significant
[00:03:40] opportunities for channel partners.
[00:03:43] Over 40% of upper-mid-market firms, nearly 40% of core mid-market firms, and almost
[00:03:48] 30% of small businesses expect AI-related IT spending to increase by more than 25% in 2024.
[00:03:56] However, potential risks exist, such as vendors bypassing the channel and customers'
[00:04:01] favoring partners who can leverage AI efficiently.
[00:04:05] Channel leaders are advised to adopt a sense and respond approach and align value propositions
[00:04:11] with customer decision makers.
[00:04:13] These solution categories for AI adoption include cybersecurity, customer experience, IT operations
[00:04:18] and management.
[00:04:20] Successful channel firms can capitalize on the rapid growth of AI in the SMB and mid-market
[00:04:26] by working with relevant solutions, products and suppliers.
[00:04:30] A survey of business leaders reveals concerns about quickly training employees to keep
[00:04:35] up with AI and tech developments.
[00:04:37] In a survey of 715 senior executives worldwide, including 680 from Forbes Global 2000 companies
[00:04:44] and 35 public sector organizations, 80% said it's never been this difficult to plan for
[00:04:51] future talent requirements.
[00:04:53] 92% of senior executives say they'll need a more flexible workforce in the next two
[00:04:58] years.
[00:04:59] Why do we care?
[00:05:02] So this is where I see the two stories coming together.
[00:05:05] First, a flexible workforce does not mean full-time employees necessarily.
[00:05:10] Instead, one option is working with a partner to deliver skills and capabilities that will
[00:05:14] be of higher value when needed.
[00:05:17] Layer in AI, the productivity boosts can offset inflation costs, tying the two together
[00:05:22] and linking them to revenue will be a successful choice.
[00:05:26] Sense and respond.
[00:05:27] There's an awful lot to unpack there.
[00:05:30] To sense, you need to be very close to your customers and not only hear what they say but
[00:05:35] also sense unspoken concerns.
[00:05:39] Respond implies you're prepared to do so with appropriate solutions.
[00:05:44] I agree with the approach and want to point out that those who execute will be both
[00:05:48] scarce and more profitable.
[00:05:53] There's also some interesting platform news.
[00:05:56] Amazon is removing its just walkout technology from all fresh grocery stores in the US.
[00:06:02] The self-checkout system, which relied on cameras, sensors and human monitoring, faced issues and
[00:06:07] was expensive to install and maintain.
[00:06:10] Privacy concerns were also raised due to the collection of biometric information.
[00:06:14] Amazon plans to revamp its retail grocery arm by introducing Dash smart carts that
[00:06:19] allow customers to skip the checkout.
[00:06:22] Zoom has undergone its first major overhaul in nearly 10 years, utilizing artificial intelligence
[00:06:28] to enhance the video calling experience.
[00:06:31] The redesign includes a fresh look with customizable color themes and meeting backgrounds and new
[00:06:36] features like multi-speaker view, document collaboration, portrait lighting, personalized
[00:06:41] audio isolation and dynamic reactions.
[00:06:44] Improved collaboration features such as the meetings tab and meeting event hub
[00:06:48] have also been implemented.
[00:06:50] New workplace is available at no additional cost for eligible paid plans.
[00:06:55] Microsoft has announced price increases of between 9.26% and 16.67% for its Dynamics 365 business
[00:07:03] applications, citing the release of new features and enhancements as the justification.
[00:07:09] The price changes will take effect on October 1st of this year.
[00:07:12] US government users will see a 10% increase in October 2024, followed by another minor
[00:07:18] increase in October 2025 to align with commercial pricing.
[00:07:23] Microsoft plans to introduce recommendations in the Windows 11 Start menu essentially adds
[00:07:29] for apps in the Microsoft Store.
[00:07:31] The feature is naturally being tested with a small group of US beta channel Windows insiders.
[00:07:37] The recommendations can be turned off and are currently limited to a subset of those
[00:07:42] beta channel Windows insiders.
[00:07:44] However, the feature could be released more widely in the future.
[00:07:48] Microsoft is using full screen prompts to encourage Windows 10 users to upgrade to Windows 11,
[00:07:54] even though not all PCs are eligible.
[00:07:57] The prompts thank users for their loyalty and provide information about the end of
[00:08:00] support date.
[00:08:02] Microsoft has not clarified if this is a one-time notification or if it will appear
[00:08:06] regularly over the next 18 months.
[00:08:09] The prompt does not mention that consumers can continue using Windows 10 securely beyond
[00:08:14] the end of the support date if they are willing to pay for extended security updates.
[00:08:20] Windows 11 uptake has been slower due to stricter hardware requirement.
[00:08:25] And Google Workspace is introducing a multi-admin approval feature for high-risk setting changes
[00:08:30] to enhance security and prevent unauthorized modifications.
[00:08:34] This feature requires multiple admins to approve sensitive actions, adding an extra
[00:08:39] layer of security and preventing isolated decision-making.
[00:08:42] It aims to prevent compromised accounts from making harmful changes and lower the risk of
[00:08:47] lowering the overall security level.
[00:08:50] Why do we care?
[00:08:52] First, I want to note that Amazon is abandoning a major investment.
[00:08:55] There's a lesson in abandoning technology and plans when they aren't working.
[00:09:00] Microsoft sure is squeezing that upgrade, full screen ads.
[00:09:04] And you end up with more ads in Windows 11.
[00:09:06] Not sure I'm so keen on this.
[00:09:08] Distinctly, this is your opportunity to send feedback.
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[00:10:04] Thanks for listening.
[00:10:05] Today is tax day in the US, but it's also National Laundry Day.
[00:10:09] Really.
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[00:10:31] Talk to you again tomorrow.
[00:10:34] The business of tech is written and produced by me, Dave Sobel, under ethics guidelines posted
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