As technology advances at an insane pace, how do you as a MSP face the upcoming challenges with generative ai and hiring good talent? On today's episode, Jay McBain, chief analyst for Canalys, joins the show to give us an idea of what's down the road for MSPs, areas MSPs are missing out on, and what you should do now to prepare.
Chapter:
0:00 - Intro
2:15 - Jay's involvement with Deep Blue and Watson
10:19 - Should my MSP focus on AI right now?
24:00 - The future of MSPs and talent
49:16 - What is upcoming for MSPs?
55:14 - More on talent issues
60:33 - Who do I get my MSP ahead?
66:48 - What are MSPs overlooking right now?
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Connect with Jay:
linkedin.com/in/jaymcbain
Connect with Damien:
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/dstevens
Listen on audio:
Apple Podcast: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/msp-mindset-with-damien-stevens/id1669572779
Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/5B1k3Z8qXBGBSCJeSScjBE?si=c5d185c306064520
[00:00:00] and Master Opportunity for managed service providers, and it is billions of dollars in size,
[00:00:05] and it's just one of these recommendations that let's just make sure that we're in time for that opportunity.
[00:00:13] And we're not giving up other opportunity in our own territory by getting too fast too quick.
[00:00:21] And so that's the rule when you think about gender to the I.
[00:00:25] Hey guys, thank you for being on MSP mindset on your host Damian Stevens and I'm really
[00:00:34] excited to be talking to Jay McBane today. He was channel influence of the year,
[00:00:41] worked at IBM as a futurist in help to evangelize deep blue which was the first
[00:00:48] to be the world brand master at chess which evolved into the Jeopardy champion Watson so before
[00:00:55] we, you know, the AI hype was crazy, was at IBM as a futurist, evangelizing this sort of things
[00:01:04] and moved to the US with Lenovo and then gave up corporate life to become an entrepreneur
[00:01:10] and focus on channel eyes which was the first indirect sales platform to increase designing
[00:01:15] increased channel revenue. Jay is now the chief analyst for global channels at Canalis. The world's
[00:01:22] leading analyst firm with a distinct focus on channel's partnership alliance and ecosystem. So
[00:01:28] lot of big words from my perspective, the reason that we're talking or reason I'm so excited is
[00:01:34] he's been in the channel, he's been in the trenches at auto task and all sorts of things he's been
[00:01:41] on both sides of it and it's been his days appearing into the future. So I thought what better
[00:01:49] person to ask than Jay. Thanks so much for having me and I don't think anyone has ever read my
[00:01:54] bio before so that was the, I was talking through memory lane there so glad to be here. Yeah yeah
[00:02:00] it's a long way. It's like you know it's funny you asked the people help the show prep at
[00:02:05] almost like German down a little bit but you know leaving some of the fun stuff. Yeah so
[00:02:11] just since I was talking about it right the, I don't know at least I remember
[00:02:17] certainly the big moment of Watson beating you know becoming a jeopardy. I kind of remember the
[00:02:25] chest thing with deep blue but what just to help her meant me know now that we're in
[00:02:30] 2024 and all this journey I, I stuff when, when was this? Brock's not. Yeah this was 30 years ago,
[00:02:38] almost to the day. I joined the IBM 30 years ago in 20 days. Wow and you know young right out of
[00:02:46] college kind of that intern you know excitable always you know love technology and you know from
[00:02:53] very, very early age was programming my own you know computers and my mom was a computer teacher so
[00:02:59] in the late 70s she's lug home an apple too for me to play with and program on so that came
[00:03:06] from early age so when IBM was looking around the office and said hey you know we're doing all these
[00:03:11] cool things and it wasn't just AI at the time they had just invented what was called the
[00:03:16] personal area network where you could shake somebody's hand and in the electricity that runs through
[00:03:22] your body and if you've ever sparked yourself you know that. Yeah you could experience the business
[00:03:27] card in one handshake you look at a palm pilot in your back pocket all the information got transferred
[00:03:34] wirelessly from just shaking somebody's hand this is in the mid 90s it's crazy and then the biggest
[00:03:40] news bigger than AI at the time was that some IBM fellows along with Harvard and MIT and Oxford
[00:03:48] in the UK a bunch of the smartest people in the world got together and studied teleportation just like
[00:03:54] Star Trek but beam me up Scotty teleportation in an 8,000 page report came back and said it's possible
[00:04:03] so they were looking around the office and said hey you know we need somebody on this TV show we
[00:04:08] need somebody to go to universities and go talk to kids at schools and governments and go talk
[00:04:14] to business audiences and I was the first to put up my hand just a little spiky here you know
[00:04:21] kid right out of college but boy were things like that but the big news you know coming out the next
[00:04:27] couple of years it was 1996 1997 getting ready to play Gary Casparov at chess but this wasn't
[00:04:35] really AI this was not singularity this was not what we're watching today around generative AI
[00:04:41] this was brute force compute and so game of chess and the complexity in chess is in and can go back
[00:04:50] to a mathematical problem and so to solve the game of chess and what makes a grand master is that
[00:04:57] they can look ahead on average three moves and Gary Casparov could see further ahead moved-wise than anyone else
[00:05:05] those of us who are just amateurs you know we might be able to see one move ahead if we could see a
[00:05:10] bit more than that we would win tournaments but the grandmaster level is just completely off the charts
[00:05:16] in terms of the ability and the brain wiring to be able to do that at that scale but we figured out
[00:05:23] the game of chess you know involves openings and there's books and volumes written about every opening
[00:05:29] ever made by every grandmaster going back a thousand years so the idea was if you could get past we didn't
[00:05:36] have the computational power to play the game of chess from the opening moves backwards the time
[00:05:44] you're a lot at per move only gives you enough time so once you get past that standard opening
[00:05:49] we now have the ability to process the entire game every move played forward and backwards
[00:05:57] and then back to the trillions of permutations and then choosing the next best move every single time
[00:06:05] you would win the game every single time I mean against a normal player but even a grandmaster
[00:06:10] if you could play every move ahead not just three moves ahead it through brute force you could beat
[00:06:16] a grandmaster and that was the story of deep blue it was a it was kind of a representation or
[00:06:23] celebration of where the IBM mainframe had got to at that point with all the storage memory compute
[00:06:32] networking technologies that were at the time we now have that ability to process that much
[00:06:38] and show it in this public environment. So this is what was coming for.
[00:06:48] Yeah so maintaining the futurism through AI it was like okay that wasn't AI that was showing how
[00:06:56] fast a supercomputer could run and then push it towards a particular set of objectives on the game of chess
[00:07:05] so when the jeopardy opportunity came along and this was like 15 years later but for the next decade
[00:07:11] IBM moved on from brute force which was kind of a deep blue technology into Watson
[00:07:17] and jeopardy you know beating Ken Jennings and beating the three big you know biggest players
[00:07:22] of jeopardy at the time wasn't a brute force even though there was some brute force in there
[00:07:28] it was actually a general to the AI problem. Alex Trebek asks you a question and it presents
[00:07:36] two computing challenges. One is that you quickly within milliseconds have to respond and click a
[00:07:43] button whether you have the confidence that you have know the right answer given another three or four
[00:07:49] seconds to go back into your gray matter and everything else and get those synapses going back
[00:07:55] to fetch that answer but for computer it's the same thing it's when you do a Google search.
[00:08:01] I don't know if they still do it but they used to show the actual milliseconds that it would
[00:08:05] take to search and then how many were false and so the initial before you press the button part of
[00:08:13] that was am I getting enough quality back links in that Google search type of algorithm knowing
[00:08:21] that if I got three or four more seconds I could go read the first 20 30 40 50 or 100 results.
[00:08:28] Without reading the top 100 results do I think I have a point nine confidence
[00:08:33] that if given that time I could come up with the right answer nine times out of 10 and that
[00:08:38] was the formula of beating jeopardy and so the answer you know the computer could do that and it could
[00:08:43] make a good enough probability statement in the time it took to press the the button and then
[00:08:51] in the time that Alex you know gave you to reframe it as a question you're going through and
[00:08:58] reading the internet cover to cover actually frame up that proper question and so nine times
[00:09:04] and it ended up becoming more times than nine out of ten it was a better result than that and that
[00:09:09] was enough to beat the best human at a gain that required gender to AI you know context it
[00:09:18] involved language it involved you know communication the ability to frame it as a question
[00:09:24] all these things had to come together and that was a long time ago like we're talking over a decade
[00:09:28] ago that that happened 13 years ago that that happened yeah it's an eternity in in that computer
[00:09:33] so you know you know the Googles of the world and open AI and all the other companies going all in
[00:09:40] are rethinking this entire approach to where we're talking singularity now now we're talking
[00:09:47] about replacing humans and and keep tasks and you know you have people saying 44% of us
[00:09:54] and now be replaced and the exponential curve this is on is now become you know one of those
[00:10:03] things that people are writing letters to governments open letters to governments and you know
[00:10:07] the the Davos conference last week was absolutely the richest most powerful people in the world
[00:10:12] 99% of it was on Gen AI so it's become the topic of the day yeah and so that that screams
[00:10:19] it really well I feel like Jay so what if you're listening in your MSP like if we have a lost
[00:10:23] you yet like here what what I want to get into and I want to ask you about Jay is there's so much
[00:10:28] going on right and before we even get into Gen AI we're I would say the a lot of MSPs we're still
[00:10:37] thinking on prem or we're in some hybrid of on prem and cloud and trying to figure out my role
[00:10:43] as I've given up the the physical infrastructure and then you have how do I do
[00:10:49] the main services in cloud how do I do main services in SAS which is obviously a little bit
[00:10:54] different giving up perhaps another layer I would say most of them is piece of talk to I have no
[00:11:00] idea what to what to do with AI you know I don't know what to do with it my own business I don't know
[00:11:06] how to advise clients protect them secure them advise them anything and have some ideas and
[00:11:13] tinkering it in a not taking away from any you know all of them are playing with whatever GPT or
[00:11:19] barred or whatever latest release but you know it's changing much faster than it seems like the
[00:11:27] average human can change or perhaps comprehend and then I wanted to kind of position this with
[00:11:36] I've talked to so many of MSPs that for the first time that I have been working in the MSPs
[00:11:43] which has been a couple decades talent has become the chief issue you know used to be sales
[00:11:49] I gotta get more sales and now get more talent and now it's like I've got sales I just don't
[00:11:53] don't have the talent um so in the reason I want to position that is right we keep having a
[00:12:00] more complex world to deal with as an MSP and anybody in the channel and then we need perhaps
[00:12:07] people to be more functional and multiple domains and then we hear 44% can be replaced so you know
[00:12:17] I'm gonna ask some more specifics but like you know what's your take on that?
[00:12:22] Yeah I think you asked four questions there so I'll kind of take them in order
[00:12:26] you know this whole point of on premise to cloud is obviously a huge opportunity and obviously
[00:12:33] the cloud side of the equation the infrastructure the SaaS everything else has been growing fast much faster than
[00:12:38] yet so figuring out hybrid strategies and figuring out how to make things work but there's a
[00:12:43] gender that AI story there as well 85% of the world's data sits on premises and I spoke at Google
[00:12:51] next I spoke at Microsoft's Inspire I spoke at AWS reinvent the CEO is of all the major
[00:12:57] trillion dollar value companies are very aware and they're very much supporting the fact that these
[00:13:03] data sets and the backups and everything around them are not going to be forklifted
[00:13:09] into the public cloud public clouds are already full they're already consuming too much power
[00:13:15] for many utility companies they're already consuming too much fresh water to the point where we have
[00:13:20] a couple of countries in Latin America now fighting these companies for fresh water for their citizens
[00:13:26] so no there's not room to fork lift what's at the edge back into these language models that
[00:13:32] sit in the public cloud so a lot of the opportunity around gender to AI is going to be at the edge
[00:13:37] where MSPs and other system integrators and bars digital agencies solution providers of all types
[00:13:44] is about 20 different kinds of companies that are going to succeed in gendered AI at the edge
[00:13:50] and you know for those speeches we wrote a really detailed report showing 158 billion dollars
[00:13:57] in services around the world by 2028 it's a 59.3% growth rate compounded year after year after year
[00:14:05] so it's one of those things it's a fastest growth rates across almost every category of software
[00:14:11] hardware and services so can't be ignored but the summary of the report is that MSPs should not get
[00:14:18] to excited either we already know that about a third of MSPs are pretty skeptical and are taking away
[00:14:25] approach a third on top of that are skeptical and kind of dabbling and a third of them are pretty
[00:14:31] excited so there's some general consensus that you know we've been burned by IoT we've been burned
[00:14:38] by the metaverse last year and every time there's one of these new VR AR I don't get on in front
[00:14:45] of it and get popped with the bubble all right so we'll take a very mature we'll take a very stage
[00:14:52] to approach before I go line up and get everybody certified and build competencies and and find out
[00:14:58] so this is going to play out over the next five years but I'll tell you right now you know it's not
[00:15:04] companies building out huge large language models with the two name and stuff people are in
[00:15:09] exploration mode which means consulting there's very little design and architecture but that'll
[00:15:15] probably be coming later this year but right now if you don't really run a consulting business you're
[00:15:21] not in the GSI RSI regional system integrators you're not competing with Accenture they're the ones
[00:15:28] that are in Pharma and banking insurance automotive manufacturing trying to rethink what that
[00:15:34] industry might look like when we achieve singularity or when this gender to AI starts taking over
[00:15:41] all the tasks and stuff like that so they're trying to think with those companies how to change
[00:15:46] the world and obviously profit and benefit their shareholders but there's nothing to do where
[00:15:53] we're not rolling up our sleeves we're not installing new gear we're not putting new instances and
[00:15:58] we're not securing that we're not building backup disaster recovery strategies around it you
[00:16:03] gotta understand this is going to be a roll-up and while there's huge opportunity we end up
[00:16:08] have to understand where the opportunity is in our region in front of our types of customers
[00:16:13] in their industries and their size and scale and the buyer types that we serve and 2024 you'd be
[00:16:19] better off focusing on security you'd be better off focusing on you know backup and disaster
[00:16:24] recovery you're better off focusing on growing in those areas that are more near-term
[00:16:30] and then working as a team you know the average larger customer that's looking at gender
[00:16:35] AI right now has seven partners they trust and it's something there'll be ready for us to go
[00:16:41] think about the compute and where that happens and the networking in between these large language
[00:16:46] models back over to the edge where the data is and when the work actually gets going that's
[00:16:51] when those consultants you know don't know what they're doing at that point
[00:16:56] no they're cloud on whiteboards they're not you know you know
[00:17:00] they did those cloud there is a massive opportunity for managed service providers
[00:17:05] and it is you know billions of dollars in size and it's just one of these you know recommendations
[00:17:10] that you know let's just make sure that we're in time for that opportunity and we're not
[00:17:16] given up other opportunity in our own territory by getting too fast too quick yeah
[00:17:24] and so that's the that's the rule when you think about gender to AI you also talked about
[00:17:29] no talent it did but no I before you go there I've won one quick thing to clarify so
[00:17:35] you said 59% compound annual growth rate what that's the growth rate of services
[00:17:47] okay wrapped around uh gender to AI so okay our firm analysis Latin for channels
[00:17:54] so all we think about is MSPs and we think about it for partner opportunity outwards
[00:17:59] well such a the CEO of Microsoft is on TV this morning talking about four trillion dollars
[00:18:07] while McKinsey who's in you know advising all the biggest boards of the Fortune 500 companies
[00:18:13] are talking about their whole world economy you know being half gen all these people are talking
[00:18:18] in such big numbers we're actually breaking it down to the 200 services
[00:18:23] who's going to consult who's going to design an architect and implement and integrate who's
[00:18:27] going to back all this up and plan for disasters who's going to secure this who's
[00:18:33] going to reduce the hallucinations who's going to make the business value out of all this
[00:18:38] and there you know hundreds of services that we may or may not be able to perform given you
[00:18:43] talent and skills and everything else but knowing what that is and the numbers that we can go
[00:18:48] against it it's a market target addressable market or a serviceable addressable or service
[00:18:53] obtainable market and we just got to narrow it down to the perhaps millions of dollars
[00:19:00] that might happen in our local region or the customers that we cover
[00:19:05] and we just want to make sure we get more than our fair share of that and pick the most
[00:19:09] profitable parts of that opportunity and and capture when it comes because last year it was 15 billion
[00:19:16] that's the 59% growth rate it's going to take five years to get up to that bigger number
[00:19:21] but in last year's 15 billion that's not a big number you know to in comparison last year's
[00:19:27] managed services number was 488 billion it's now a half a trillion dollar business
[00:19:35] and there are now 335,000 companies I'm not going to call them MSPs they're 335,000
[00:19:42] partners who have now at least one managed contract you look at those companies that are more than 30
[00:19:48] percent of their revenue is recurring it's now 86,000 around the world and if you go to 50
[00:19:55] percent in above it's about 43,000 so that gives you kind of the numbers and that's more of a
[00:20:01] opportunity and you know I'm going to say the 15 billion dollars last year maybe only one to two
[00:20:07] of that was ever in the managed services space. So am I going to think about the 488 or am I going
[00:20:13] to think about the two? Yeah I'm not going to disregard something that's growing at 59% but I'm also
[00:20:20] going to understand again through the lens of my customers when where and how I'm going to go
[00:20:27] again front of that. Okay that helps a ton and then just for the last one all the numbers you're
[00:20:33] giving us in terms of count of companies and then MSPs in a certain level was worldwide not national
[00:20:41] yeah I'll always say worldwide if you want to break it down the interesting thing about
[00:20:46] managed services it started in North America many of the RMMs came out of Ottawa Canada
[00:20:52] I worked at auto task in the pre you know data stage and our friends at connect wise and Tampa
[00:20:58] and our friends at Tiger Paw over in Nebraska you know and all the emergency companies in this space
[00:21:04] if you got together back in like 1999 and told everybody in a holiday in with a hundred people but
[00:21:10] this was going to be a half a trillion dollar business and if you were to tell two of them
[00:21:15] you know the the guy from data and the guy from connect wise that they were going to be billionaires
[00:21:20] that they were going to exit for 4.5 billion we would have all had a big laugh over it right yeah
[00:21:26] that's the thing that would be a not- how multiple companies were billions yeah that's where
[00:21:33] I mean by the way MSPs themselves are rolling up you know via private equity and other things
[00:21:39] into billion dollar multi billion dollar entities so this is a real large mature and it's kicking
[00:21:49] out millionaires hundred millionaires and now billionaires almost on a weekly basis so this is
[00:21:55] this is huge and so many other kinds of professional services companies want a piece of it
[00:22:00] and that's why we have 335,000 companies now with at least one managed contract back then
[00:22:06] though you know 95% of the business was North American mostly US we had you know one or two people
[00:22:13] over in Australia I think we had one we had you know a few people in the UK before we put a hundred
[00:22:19] people in Europe was one of the last things I we did before I left there but this was you know
[00:22:26] really really an North American thing but last year for the first time ever Europe plus Asia
[00:22:31] Pacific plus Latin America is now larger than North America so North America where it started and
[00:22:38] was was everything is now the minority around the world as well it's truly a global business
[00:22:45] have you ever wondered if you could recover your backups let me ask a better question have you
[00:22:51] ever had a backup failed to recover have you ever lost data yeah that's me here's what's crazy
[00:22:57] 58% of recoveries failed to recover so if you think it's just you you couldn't be more wrong
[00:23:04] what are we going to do about that well you've got two options inter surosity what we do
[00:23:09] what we exist to do is test your backups and manage them for you we test every volume every
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[00:23:26] for you it's time to level up your backup key one way you can do that is visit surosity.com slash
[00:23:32] learn more if you'd like to take the process that I've spent the last 18 years building
[00:23:37] and steal it and apply to your MSP so that you can level up your backup key check out the link
[00:23:43] below in the description or visit surosity.com slash learn more I think with all the
[00:23:50] so it's not all but with so much of the new technology and startups and you know the large companies
[00:23:56] you're mentioning open AI you know Microsoft what have you being in the USA just to see them
[00:24:02] still the majority so I knew it's a complex question I want to dig deeper but how do we reconcile
[00:24:10] the on one hand maybe 44% by some estimates of jobs might you know be replaced and then on
[00:24:17] the other hand I feel like talent has become one of the if not the top issue stopping even growing your
[00:24:24] MSP. Yeah it absolutely has and it part of your question and it's actually directly related
[00:24:32] is why haven't MSPs succeeded in this space of hyperscalers AWS Microsoft and Google.
[00:24:39] Why haven't they did that space the same way they did with Dell HP and Lenovo and Cisco and yet
[00:24:46] because we know now that you know for every dollar of consumption of public cloud like an AWS
[00:24:51] there's six dollars and forty cents that is available that a customer could you know in source
[00:24:57] and outsource to get it to work so the customers going to buy a hundred thousand dollars in
[00:25:03] consumption of a public cloud they better have seven hundred thousand dollars you know in the bank
[00:25:08] to get it to work so this whole like in this is what's got you know integrators and this what
[00:25:13] got agencies and all kinds of people consultants are really excited about these big numbers but MSP
[00:25:19] is about a dollar of that six dollars and forty cents but if I were to go to the average MSP today
[00:25:25] and say you know your clients I added up all the credits I added up all the future commits
[00:25:30] and there today consuming $10 million of public cloud today are you getting $10 million divided by
[00:25:42] 36 over the first three years yourself have you signed ten million dollars of commitments from
[00:25:48] those same client the answer's no right so the answers were missing skills you know development
[00:25:55] certifications competencies somebody else is picking up that money managed service providers were again
[00:26:01] a little bit too plugged into on premises and perhaps blocking cloud adoption and this is also
[00:26:09] blocked MSPs from going more enterprise calling on the bigger banks calling on the bigger companies
[00:26:15] manufacturing companies in your territory it wasn't how many PCs they had you could scale that
[00:26:22] it was their hybrid infrastructure the other thing that MSPs totally missed a boat on
[00:26:29] over the last 25 years and you mentioned it was sass so the one thing that was different about sass
[00:26:35] than anything else in technology or telco it had a different buyer and seventy five percent of
[00:26:41] sass today this is sales force service now work day marketo net sweet hub spot you recognize all
[00:26:48] these things these are big company sales forces a thirty five billion dollar revenue company
[00:26:53] the NSAP there were value higher than oracle for a while so the question is why didn't we win
[00:26:59] not only the sales force resell it's mostly direct it's 99 percent direct but sales force today
[00:27:06] has a six dollar and nineteen cent multiplier so every dollar again of sales forces you know
[00:27:12] six dollars available to us as technology people well we're not calling on the sales buyer 75
[00:27:19] percent of sass is bought outside of IT so when we ask MSPs I know who you're you're calling
[00:27:26] on the owner principle as the company gets larger over a hundred employees you start calling
[00:27:32] on vice presidents and then as a company gets you know really large into the mid market 500
[00:27:37] employees even a thousand employees you're you're calling on directors at that point so while sales
[00:27:43] force is selling to a VP of sales or director of sales we might not even know who that person is
[00:27:50] or not meeting with that person we haven't built a relationship and when they're ready to buy
[00:27:54] that six dollars on top of the thirty five billion if we're talking two hundred billion dollars
[00:27:59] a service opportunity bigger than genuine I will be by twenty twenty two eight just on sales force
[00:28:05] wow now we're looking at that for all the hundred biggest sass companies the world there's 200
[00:28:10] thousand sass companies but just take the top hundred and there's a ridiculous opportunity it's
[00:28:15] close to one point two trillion dollars of services but you have to know the head of HR and work
[00:28:22] in the work day kind of ecosystem know the head of CX work in the service now ecosystem
[00:28:29] know the head of marketing and work in the market of L.O.Pardot HubSpot ecosystem this is
[00:28:36] line of business led technology which doesn't really flow through the CIO if they have one
[00:28:43] doesn't really flow at all through the CSO and so the IT tech people are kind of off to the side
[00:28:50] that's why there wasn't success and this market grew up to be a really really big one
[00:28:55] without really dedicated managed services monthly services wrapped around. Yeah that makes it
[00:29:01] ton of sense it's an interesting one because right I think some of mine was
[00:29:06] some of my assumptions were let's wait and see and the let's wait and see took too long
[00:29:12] in terms of you know not everybody thinks this way but I think some are still like you know
[00:29:19] hey cloud I have less damage and sass I have almost no you know at least in a cloud server
[00:29:25] maybe I can put an arm in agent on it maybe I can back it up maybe I can do something I can update the
[00:29:29] OS and but you know with sass there's a there's there's a little less surface area there
[00:29:34] and so you know it assumed that a lot of it was just fear if you're the unknown you know waiting
[00:29:39] for the market of a tour and but you know what makes it ton of sense right you're not
[00:29:44] VP sales is making decision on the CRM you know they they don't they they're not talking to the
[00:29:49] CIO especially in this day in age because you're not nobody's putting an on-prem CRM in.
[00:29:56] So ask the question though like who is making that money right so let's talk about how it's
[00:30:00] off from in there's five dollars and eighty cents available to get for every dollar of
[00:30:05] hub spot to get it to work hmm in that five dollars and eighty cents guess what there's hundreds
[00:30:10] of thousands of digital agencies who used to be marketing agencies these were the madmen during the
[00:30:16] 50s then years ago they decided to help you build your website you know 10 years ago they
[00:30:23] helped you get on front page of Google yes you own so they've become a more digital yeah
[00:30:27] where do they see the opportunity where the MSP isn't is going to help this buyer
[00:30:33] in HubSpot the marketing buyer in HubSpot help them consult at how they should do a design and
[00:30:40] architect the solution how they should build the seven layer stack which is a seven products
[00:30:45] on average that could sold in every HubSpot deal hmm this price it is 13,000 and 80
[00:30:50] ISVs to be exact to compete for those six other spots then you your past the initial procurement
[00:30:56] it's subscription consumption so every 30 days forever upsell cross-sell enrichment but looking
[00:31:02] at the implementation services the integration services these long term you know managed services
[00:31:08] it could be built around all this this is the you know a massive opportunity and it's one
[00:31:15] that again MSPs shy away from because they don't know who the CMO is and they're not
[00:31:21] disappearing in that kind of broader question but to your point you're sending a lot of
[00:31:25] your company data your customer data across public wires and sitting in public clouds
[00:31:33] and so backing that up you know planning for you know fallback and disaster recovery
[00:31:40] the security of all that right from the edge where the password is the identity you know at
[00:31:47] the edge through the network the applications the web the network security there's seven
[00:31:52] layers of security to talk about surrounding every dollar of SaaS there are things in our world
[00:32:00] of all the vendors that we represent and the portfolio that we've created that added that five
[00:32:06] dollars and 80 cents but we're just not in front of that buyer yeah it makes sense that you know
[00:32:12] most of us P's are used to speaking to the C to the IT manager this yeah somebody in IT department
[00:32:18] and CMO wants to talk about you know cost to a fire lead velocity deal pipeline right those
[00:32:27] are probably not the terms you're using and and so yeah it's a different language to and I'm
[00:32:34] sure with same thing with HR work day and you know sales force with your CRM and so on and so on
[00:32:41] but it is a technology conversation because they're not just talking about lead velocity for
[00:32:45] the sake of lead because it makes them sound cool they're literally under KPIs and they're going
[00:32:49] to lose their job if they don't solve for it. We're not just to wish it up on a whiteboard it's
[00:32:55] of the 13,08y martek ad tech tools out there what three would you recommend that could get me
[00:33:01] the best lead velocity in my industry in my geography be compliant be well governed you know
[00:33:08] for my particular use case should I be using gna i and that or not blah blah blah blah blah blah
[00:33:14] yeah so in that that's totally a technology conversation and somebody's got to come implement and
[00:33:20] integrate that that buyer by the way is now a millennial by the end of this year and psychologically
[00:33:28] they're also in integration first fire so out by a lead velocity tool that might even be 80
[00:33:35] percent as good as the competitor tool if it fits better in my environment and if the people
[00:33:40] that I trust those circle of trust of seven partners can better implement integrated into what I do
[00:33:46] get me success faster cheaper better again I'll would like all for go a couple of features
[00:33:55] maybe even higher that MSPs I don't think have evolved to the point to respond to a
[00:34:03] younger or more integration first buyer because integrations is not exactly a matter service
[00:34:10] but it actually is you have to charge project rates and with the amount of change orders
[00:34:17] and the fact that a sass 25 years later there's no sass integration that's ever completed
[00:34:23] itself because every day in the new and some other you know last week google announced the end of
[00:34:29] the cookie there goes my lead velocity i can't go about a third party data now now i have to flip
[00:34:35] at the second party data there's this channel text act with hundreds of new companies that do
[00:34:40] the second party data that looks like a managed service to me when it's just a recurring thing
[00:34:47] that goes on forever and it gets reopt on change orders and never ends yeah that's something
[00:34:54] that integrations technology integrations is something that MSPs know how to do and the fact that
[00:34:59] there's you know changes moves that changes every month just add to the fun and obviously add
[00:35:04] to the profit margin yeah and it won't turn things so i don't know why we're caught up on trying
[00:35:10] to create something recurring when it just ends up becoming recurring anyway and maybe there's a
[00:35:14] point where the customer just says you know I've done so many change orders and you're charging
[00:35:19] me so much for these change orders just give me something predictable and just let's assume
[00:35:25] there's going to be a thousand changes in the next three years and build that all in and price
[00:35:29] that all in and make it a bit cheaper than what you're charging me now and i will commit to a
[00:35:33] three-year monthly agreement with you yeah makes me think of like uh... twilio
[00:35:38] of which technically does not do most of the revenue is not recurring and uh... years ago
[00:35:44] that would have been a horrible thing going public and now you know their revenue is more predictable
[00:35:50] than most recurring revenue companies because uh... while it's usage based right for anybody
[00:35:56] not familiar with every almost every text you get to log in for him if they are calls
[00:36:00] you get whatever a lot of it is powered by that by twilio and you pay for every single one
[00:36:07] and so you know your or you may not and you know at the higher levels there may be a commitment
[00:36:11] but you may not be locked in they might not be guaranteed anything but the
[00:36:15] cost of getting out of it and reintegrating you know into a different solution is just
[00:36:21] not worth it so uh... you know it's it's you know do they have a contract that guarantees
[00:36:26] it no but do they their turn as proven to be lower than many uh... recurring revenue
[00:36:34] so if i'm an MSP what do i do with all this right i'm guessing the answer isn't
[00:36:43] build competencies with the top hundred task companies and the six or seven providers
[00:36:49] needed to perhaps capture all the dollars within all of those
[00:36:55] unless i did your recommendation but that seems pretty ambitious we're back into your talent
[00:37:01] question here all right so in the end you've you build your company you built the skills necessary
[00:37:07] to go get the revenue you've you know quoted for and and been successful at creating
[00:37:14] you know delighted you know returning customers every 30 days forever you know customers for life
[00:37:20] so now i'd want to take this industry of the five trillion dollars that businesses
[00:37:25] government are going to spend on technology and break it down into my local
[00:37:30] focus area again a lot of MSP's focus on a region a town a city of fifty mile radius
[00:37:36] others focus on an industry others focus on a particular type of buyer others focus on a
[00:37:42] particular segment you know i i focus on you know twenty five to forty nine employee companies
[00:37:49] others focus purely on a product area that might be amped up on back up disaster recovery
[00:37:56] that's kind of what they focus on and and find opportunities and then others are just you know
[00:38:01] kind of business model specialties now they're you know they they live in you know different
[00:38:06] shape themselves by their recurring model or product like growth model or or whatever that may be
[00:38:12] but in the end i mean there's six choices on how you specialize your company but i'd want to get
[00:38:17] better more numeric or quantitative on my target addressable market sizes
[00:38:23] you know how big is the jen AI of the hundred and fifty eight billion how much of that
[00:38:29] rolled right down into my market is going to you know be there and available
[00:38:34] if that answer is let's say ten million dollars if i built out the right skills
[00:38:40] you know i had the right sales the right marketing built the right right web page i had the right
[00:38:46] lead process and work with the right vendors and if i get all the right things and i one more
[00:38:51] than my fair share let's say ten percent of that i could build a one million dollar
[00:38:56] jen AI business by twenty twenty eight cool um so what does that entail what do good jen
[00:39:06] AI businesses look like do do i have can i do it with the people that i are in work with
[00:39:11] or will i need a different set of skills you probably need a different set of skills
[00:39:15] you probably a closer to companies like snowflake and data donk you definitely have to get closer
[00:39:21] to open a i Microsoft and google an AWS up and down there stacks you may have to get closer
[00:39:27] the Nvidia and some of this so the stack looks different there's five thousand companies today
[00:39:33] in the jen AI i as v world so and then i have to become integration first because all in jen
[00:39:39] AI the opportunities around it there's no resell opportunity because it's going to be a part
[00:39:43] of every other product from your to brush to your car it's going to be embedded everywhere
[00:39:50] for all the companies like Microsoft copilot i'm stine gpt who are trying to sell you something
[00:39:56] for five bucks a user that's going to be gone in a couple of years and it's just going to be everywhere
[00:40:01] every SaaS product is going to have it every hardware products is going to have it everybody's
[00:40:05] building it into everything in every industry mm-hmm so it comes for partners it becomes for MSPs
[00:40:10] an integration problem and it becomes obviously a security compliance governance it becomes a backup
[00:40:17] because the opportunities across the board so i want to just break down that 10 million
[00:40:23] the million dollars that i can go get reasonably and say hey do i want to staff up against that
[00:40:29] and then what would i have those people would i repurpose somebody who's maybe working on a
[00:40:35] lower value thing to that opportunity or would i maybe do a merger acquisition to kind of acquire
[00:40:41] that talent would i build that from you know somebody in an intern level up up or what i just go
[00:40:48] you know find a superstar locally mm-hmm and they're out how to um how to hire them but
[00:40:55] how you approach it should be top down kind of quantitative and assist a business i want to be
[00:40:59] and because i bet there's a lot of other businesses are going to be much larger than a million
[00:41:03] perhaps more profitable and perhaps easier to obtain given the resources and the skills
[00:41:10] and the competencies that are already built in sure so there's so much buzz right now about
[00:41:16] 489,000 big tech layoffs mm-hmm you know yesterday google just you know whacked another set and
[00:41:23] today it was room and you know two days ago it was uh someone else i did literally every day
[00:41:30] i mean there's a layoff stud FYI there's websites like track this but this whole idea that 489,000
[00:41:37] people would go from a $300,000 a year no show job at google or $60,000 a year for a local MSP
[00:41:47] when you've built your lifestyle around $300,000 working remotely here i mean there's a break there
[00:41:53] i mean you may have jade i skills but you know there's no way within a million dollar business five years
[00:41:59] from now can i afford $300,000 per year all right so i'm not going to go spend $1.5 million dollars
[00:42:05] to go get one you know at a it's 10% profit so it just the math doesn't make sense so you know
[00:42:12] do these people re-setting the channel maybe at some point do they become entrepreneurs themselves
[00:42:17] it's more likely mm-hmm no but i've become MSP is probably not you know an MSP has an average margin of
[00:42:23] 17% EBITDA you know a local jen AI consultancy you know you hire 10 or 15 of your friends
[00:42:32] you run yourself at 50 60% EBITDA and then you know at some point you know before that big number hits
[00:42:39] you sell yourself off to Deloitte or PWC or kept jeminine you know everybody's happy your retirement level
[00:42:44] happened interesting so how you know that i think that frames talent and one of my questions
[00:42:54] is before we've been getting to that it's like you know how to handle AI do I staff into it or not but just
[00:43:00] any idea why so many MSPs are saying just in the services i already sell I'm already struggling
[00:43:08] i can't find enough talent i feel like in the last few years it's gone just from you know direct
[00:43:14] phone conversations i've had with with 100 and 100s of MSPs i just you know what are your
[00:43:19] top issues and not always but you know would say anecdotally it seemed to be you know some
[00:43:26] something along sales leads marketing and even more and even more clients and now it's well you know
[00:43:32] not that we've solved that forever but like i can't find it talent to keep up well i mean there's
[00:43:38] a number of issues all compressing at the same time or inflecting themselves at the same time when
[00:43:42] it's price compression you know when there's 335 thousand companies now with one managed services
[00:43:48] contract that's a lot of you know quotes going into every customer and a lot of people knocking on
[00:43:54] a lot of doors not a lot of phone calls a lot of emails being transferred over so a lot of people's
[00:43:59] brothers friends uncles and connection points so then the markets very saturated which is driving
[00:44:06] down prices hmm the workers also not that profitable if you read the research by service
[00:44:12] leadership and and some others when they upload you know thousands of P&Ls across MSPs now there's
[00:44:19] a quarter to a third of MSPs that actually don't make money every month and then struggle
[00:44:24] profitability wise and their local market may have driven up per user price down to 113 dollars
[00:44:30] and you have to deliver 20 things for that and then the talent comes at the other end which is
[00:44:36] in that price compressed market you know now i have to you know there's no way i can make money
[00:44:40] unless i can send out a $40,000 person in a white van well guess what inflation's out of control
[00:44:48] the end of free money you know housing costs are through the roof people walk in and saying you
[00:44:53] know you got millennials that are a jenzia college saying you know listen i can't live in this
[00:44:57] town within 50 miles of you let's you pay me 80 or 90,000 base i need six figures
[00:45:04] and you're looking at this per you know price and where the price has been set the consolidation
[00:45:09] in the price compression and then obviously the private equity backed roll ups because there's
[00:45:15] an interesting thing because this industry is very profitable if you can run at at scale
[00:45:22] if you're looking to roll up the countents or digital agencies or hback plumbers i don't care
[00:45:28] what industry a 17% EBITDA is actually a really nice business to have if you could run at at scale
[00:45:36] the problem is when the average MSPs has eight people seven pretty much deployed trying to get
[00:45:42] you know hours build yeah the one person who's you know being absolutely smothered by marketing sales
[00:45:51] finance operations customer success and a hundred other things they got to run the entire
[00:45:56] company they're going to be the vice president of twelve different things plus be this you know plus
[00:46:02] no being the bill collector and and playing beef to go break me's being the head lawyer it's just
[00:46:08] a ridiculous thing to ask and the owner principle is always this is back to the e-meth book
[00:46:15] the owner principle is the one that could garner the biggest hourly rate
[00:46:20] and an opportunity cost of the you know the the most skilled person sitting back in doing
[00:46:29] operational tasks is a ridiculously bad model if i can pay that company and then this is where
[00:46:36] money people in Wall Street they don't know the first thing about technology or managed services
[00:46:40] but if i can buy a 17% business and roll up marketing sales operations finance brandy
[00:46:47] like a McDonald's like a Starbucks you know franchise the thing out but more importantly than that
[00:46:54] picking up 17% at a national level in national level is actually nicely profitable but if i can read
[00:47:00] before that owner principle get them back doing maybe the things they love to do back into the
[00:47:06] server room back in building out Kubernetes and back in you know VMware but you're not doing that anymore
[00:47:13] but doing all of them yeah um you know they may be happier they're now making money month to month
[00:47:20] and paying their mortgage so they might be they feel more stable and every time you know somebody
[00:47:25] has to send out an email campaign or every time somebody has to go collect money you know
[00:47:30] incomes headquarters you know you've taken the profitability of those eight people from 17 to 22
[00:47:37] and rolled it up and you have a bunch of 22's that you roll up oh my goodness you're buying new
[00:47:42] yachts you know for money in New York right so that's the equation that we're in like as an
[00:47:49] eight person average MSP given all the things that are happening it's almost impossible
[00:47:57] to succeed against bigger more scaled more skill and and talent filled companies
[00:48:06] bigger skills more expensive skills also get to more profitable more futuristic projects right
[00:48:13] now this is why Accenture makes a business acquisition every seven business hours
[00:48:18] as why Accenture now is 750,000 people that the biggest tech company in the world by employee
[00:48:23] science because all they're doing is these rollups and one last thing I'll say about that the majority
[00:48:32] of their rollups in last 18 months surprisingly have not been MSPs it's been digital agencies
[00:48:39] interest so in marketing the head of marketing and many companies spends more money on technology
[00:48:45] than the head of technology um digital agency has the relationship going back a hundred years
[00:48:50] to their running TV ads together 50 years ago it's got that long-term relationship now 78% of
[00:48:57] them are in tech services an Accenture gets to roll up that relationship and fly in a bunch of
[00:49:04] specialists on Gen A I or whatever else they need interest so that's the ultimate model of
[00:49:11] private equity is to become one of these you know GSI type firms yeah become that's how it's in scale
[00:49:18] well uh speaking of you know things that you may not have really signed up to do usually I found
[00:49:24] that when I was MSP that was backups so just real quickly this is sponsored by some of
[00:49:31] we do two things differently everybody has backups their redness disaster recovery some do it well
[00:49:36] we manage it for you so you quit babysitting backups and do the things that differing to you
[00:49:42] might be your owner might be your senior service person um if you're doing a well or if you're
[00:49:46] not doing a well it's probably the junior person and you know it's liability and you know it's time
[00:49:52] better spend that you could spend uh doing these things hiring the right people growing your business
[00:49:57] instead your stock babysitting backups because they're so critical secondly we test backups for you
[00:50:03] daily weekly monthly and quarterly all built in not optional so you can actually sleep at night so
[00:50:10] if you were interested in talking further about any of this or what we do is velocity just visit
[00:50:16] svacity.com slash call I'd be happy to have a call with you directly just to talk about any of the things
[00:50:22] you've heard today or how we could help you get the managing and testing of backups off of your
[00:50:28] work late. Jay you said something that really was interesting to me um that you know it's
[00:50:39] you know you made it sound like it's becoming mission impossible so what's your thoughts on an MSP
[00:50:46] I mean is it that uh you know only the super large will survive where we we're we go you know
[00:50:53] you probably have thought about this a lot more than I have um what does that gonna look like um
[00:51:00] you know let's you name the time frame but I'd love to hear your thoughts because
[00:51:04] certainly see more more private equity I've seen owner led MSPs that have gotten you know
[00:51:10] figured this out and banded together to figure out efficiencies emerged I've seen different flavors of this
[00:51:17] so uh we're going to end up with everything is a mega there's gonna be a few
[00:51:22] or well there'd be some you know super tiny and super large in the no middle
[00:51:28] what do you think this is gonna be? yeah it's definitely number two you know there's a lot of
[00:51:32] people that think consolidation because that you know the human brain that seems like the logical thing
[00:51:37] to think about you know when you buy a car there's you know three major manufacturers in North America
[00:51:45] when you buy a CRM tool there's three majors so you buy a hyper scale tool you know it's three
[00:51:51] there's a rule three you know jim well you used to say hey for not number one or number two
[00:51:56] you know making light bulbs or making nuclear turbines we're getting out of the we're getting out of that
[00:52:00] market mm-hmm not one or two anymore now with the platform levels it's all up to five like marketing
[00:52:07] has you know four platforms across the market owes part dots L.O.K.E. as in Hubspots and they all are
[00:52:13] great and they're all highly valued so the rule though is I also said that there's 13,000 ISVs
[00:52:22] plain in that market and that keeps growing by thousands every single year so every time you look at
[00:52:28] that market stack that's Scott Brinker and Hubspot puts together it grows every year and the
[00:52:33] fact of the matter is there's that many nuances there's that many what we'll call
[00:52:39] you know specific hyper personalized solutions stacks that are necessary again by sub industry
[00:52:46] by geography by compliance level by segment but all these things I've talked about in the past
[00:52:52] so that the average sastial today has seven layers and growing I mentioned that the average customer
[00:53:00] has seven partners they trust and growing the average infrastructure deal out of AWS
[00:53:08] Microsoft has seven layers the average security deal today has seven layers it's this rule of
[00:53:14] seven and the rule of seven will be the rule of eight will be the rule of nine we're in an integration
[00:53:20] first fire that's okay by him from eight different companies and surrounding themselves with eight
[00:53:25] trusted people so this is where the world's going and those numbers will continue to climb
[00:53:31] into the world we will have super platforms Microsoft over took Apple last week as a $3 trillion
[00:53:38] big company in the world and they're gonna jockey back and forth and there'll be others in that
[00:53:44] you know kind of the wonderful seven or whatever they call the top trillion dollar companies but
[00:53:49] outside of platforms there is tons of opportunity for new innovation hyper niche hyper local hyper
[00:53:58] personalized and this isn't both cracked hardware software mostly software because hardware's a
[00:54:06] difficult thing at low volumes to manufacture and be profitable but in software and services it's
[00:54:13] almost exponential so wrapping myself with the right people and services wrapping myself with the
[00:54:18] right software products to take it to that end-th degree means that this world to go from 200,000
[00:54:25] ISVs to a million within the decade it means that now that we have over a million partners out there I
[00:54:34] mentioned 335,000 have one managed contract that'll probably reach a million by the end of the decade
[00:54:41] there will be partners out there that service mid-sized banks a marketing buyer in
[00:54:47] Invernous Scotland that's literally their entire market tam and they're gonna be in a group of seven
[00:54:55] today all profitable all delivering value and all with a different spot in the world so I think
[00:55:02] things continue to explode technology is the fastest growing industry in the world it will be for the
[00:55:08] next 10 years every company in every industry every car company every bank every farm up
[00:55:15] are becoming tech companies every professional services firms big venn diagram over my shoulder here
[00:55:21] every professional services firm in every industry I mentioned 78% of digital agencies 81%
[00:55:28] of accounting and CPA firms are now tech services companies everybody is flooding into this massive
[00:55:35] opportunity we're not the single throw to choke we're not the trusted advisor non-plural
[00:55:43] team sport we're chasing down five trillion dollars which will probably be 10 by the end of the decade
[00:55:52] it's a fastest growing industry and we're trying to get our fair share of our small little
[00:55:57] sub niche and we want to employ people we want to help them pay their mortgages and change their
[00:56:04] lives we want to retire you know with our goals and our objectives and never have to
[00:56:11] don't want you know for money again this is the reason we're entrepreneurs
[00:56:15] or in the right industry to go do it we just got to kind of take a really pragmatic approach
[00:56:22] at how we move forward and manage our own expectations so I want to go back to what I
[00:56:28] asked earlier and then on the follow up once you just said a lot of folks are saying I can't get
[00:56:34] the talent and in your review is that a business small issue as you mentioned you talked about
[00:56:41] the price squeeze and the inflation and that sort of thing is it a business issue is it
[00:56:46] that there's I don't know for like a better way of saying I need somebody with 10 years experience
[00:56:53] in Oven AI or I need you know I need you to be proficient in you know 12 different
[00:57:00] disparate technologies that this is you know there's very few people to do that and I needed you
[00:57:06] in this market do you think it's a business issue in terms of like it's not really
[00:57:11] tractable like it's only solved by the the the roll-up MSP that's perhaps pe backed or
[00:57:20] is there do you think there's a fundamental talent issue and end or that you're you know you're going
[00:57:24] about it the wrong way yeah I think it's a lot of things obviously a business issue but
[00:57:32] in the end the economics need to work you know blind man need to match you know entrepreneurs have
[00:57:40] to within whatever their risk profile it is have to invest in the future whatever that future
[00:57:46] may be and not do everything behind the curve but you know this access to talent I mean there's
[00:57:53] 500,000 unemployed talented people out there or at least you know their resumes only did would show
[00:58:00] that but you know the economics have to match for for the opportunity ahead what we can build
[00:58:06] clients what we can be profitable with it comes down to also capacity so again average MSP
[00:58:13] with eight people one owner principles seven kind of deployable hourly you know billing
[00:58:18] employee there's not a lot of room in an organization of that size for development
[00:58:24] no education training certification competency building actually takes money vendors ask for money
[00:58:30] to go get these things why because big companies like Accentures spend billions doing it so
[00:58:35] you know they're happy to sell that access to the opportunity the thing through osmosis
[00:58:42] you've got people all over the place you don't have that office environment that I might have had
[00:58:46] with IBM when I work there with 450,000 colleagues that I just learned through osmosis
[00:58:52] you know everybody is working hard working long hours and you know absolutely focused and this
[00:58:58] idea that you can develop from within with that right level of experience and mentoring and
[00:59:05] stuff like that is tough to do in a smaller company so this idea that you got to pay and
[00:59:12] there's money involved to building to where you want to be or you have to buy into like you said
[00:59:17] the tenure I'd love to see somebody say they have 10 years of open AI experience has an
[00:59:22] existed for that long right as the thing you've got to pay for every year they do have in it
[00:59:27] now nowadays for every month they have in it no 10 thousand dollars yeah
[00:59:33] you know keep in around open AI since it started last year before the March break through
[00:59:38] you know you're probably making 300 thousand dollars a year right now right because somebody can sell
[00:59:42] that to somebody else for a million dollars in a contract so this is what we face
[00:59:50] you know can we find more people that can go do the things that we've done historically over the
[00:59:54] past decades running cables patching PCs you know fixing like help desk it well that's not what
[01:00:01] Jen is the in millennials wake up to do the other circles on my venn diagram oh I can go consult
[01:00:09] I can be the smartest person in the room I could re-imagine a certain industry or re-imagine a certain
[01:00:15] job role with Jen AI I mean this sounds so much cooler I don't have to get my hands dirty
[01:00:21] so there's a lot of forces against this you know talent this this idea that I can just
[01:00:25] scale up and so the industry needs to come together the associations have to come together the
[01:00:33] media the peer groups the user groups podcast like this one all the thousand watering holes
[01:00:38] that surround all of us that's the bottom thing over my shoulder all the thousand watering
[01:00:43] holes have to come together and work together to raise all boats the young person coming in to
[01:00:50] to help us in industry you know to build those skills and to get that level of value you know
[01:00:57] throughout their career and I don't think we can rely on you know what traditionally we've looked at
[01:01:03] as you know kind of a skill shortage and a challenging environment matching demand with you know
[01:01:11] what we see out there in the supply yeah yeah and based on what you said it sounds like right
[01:01:18] if the jinsie would rather much rather be the expert in the room solving more of a niche problem
[01:01:24] just on on me right that means you don't have to you know do a truck roll
[01:01:31] which means you don't have to only draw talent out of your metro
[01:01:34] um you know and you know and you know and you know and you know and you know and you know
[01:01:39] deliver bedroom that's right which is which you know broadens the talent pull will give you more options
[01:01:44] yeah so that that makes a ton of sense so any pragmatic advice on you know I'm an MSPE there's
[01:01:50] so much going on there is change like what what what do you have if you know I'm listening and I'm wondering
[01:01:56] what what do I do you know how how do I want to jump so far ahead then I'm you know
[01:02:01] spending millions of half to build a million dollar business and but how do I not get left behind
[01:02:06] because there's there's a lot of change coming well there's a couple of action a whole
[01:02:11] things I would do one is the next time I visit my clients if they allow you to um I would look
[01:02:16] backwards on the guessbook every single person signing into the guessbook there's an 80% chance
[01:02:22] now that they're talking about tech hmm hmm are less of who they're talking to right from the owner
[01:02:29] right through the organization left right horizontally vertically they're talking tech hmm hmm
[01:02:36] so getting a community built getting your own networking don't understand who all the buyers are in
[01:02:43] your organization what your entire um and this is maybe the second part of it is starting to quantify
[01:02:52] a bit more so much of this industry for decades has been built on opinion and sometimes vendors with
[01:02:59] most money and the biggest so-box you know have the biggest opinions but
[01:03:03] now I would literally be watching this industry and watching it through my clients eyes
[01:03:08] and just making sure that I'm matching up where they're going and and being the one that can
[01:03:14] take the multiplier out of it if it's gonna if they're gonna pay today they pay $2 in services
[01:03:20] for every dollar of hardware and software but that's for all services manage services is you know
[01:03:27] close to one out of every ten dollars they spend now as an advantage contract so I just want to be
[01:03:32] making sure that I'm looking left and looking right picking up manage recurring dollars where I can
[01:03:36] because they're great for valuation and and stickiness and predictability but understand that nine
[01:03:42] of the dollars don't come managed hmm it can sure I'm adding value and reducing friction in the way
[01:03:49] the customer wants to attain that value but getting more quantified than you ever have like if you're
[01:03:55] covering Cleveland if you're covering in vernis Scotland you should be walking around and
[01:04:00] sounding like me a little bit my market 10 is this this is how it's broken down hard work software
[01:04:06] services this is my service available this is my service attainable this is my coverage model
[01:04:11] this is my capacity this is I mean that's how a business owner thinks and I want to go get my
[01:04:16] share of the bigger number hmm I'm going to wait 10% of my bigger number and this is what my
[01:04:22] company's going to have to look like to go do that hmm I'm in money aside and whether that takes
[01:04:27] investment whether that takes you know kind of hanging out a little bit and you know jumping off
[01:04:33] a cliff or it takes you know a partnership or anything else how do I go if that's what I want to
[01:04:40] do if I want to engineer and go build a 10 or a hundred million dollar company now this is actually
[01:04:47] what it would take and if if I happen to be one of those you know Wall Street trust fund babies that just
[01:04:51] you know time and money aside this is how they would approach it what I do and you know
[01:04:58] and how can I get there with the lowest hanging fruit so rethink about your customers kind of
[01:05:04] inside rethink about your market and then the decisions on how you hire and what businesses
[01:05:12] and products that you get into and where your expansion plans fall whether it's to build out another
[01:05:20] 50 mile radius whether it's to go after another industry whether it's to go up market and by the
[01:05:25] way that's where more money is there's well more than 30% EBITDA in mid market and enterprise right
[01:05:33] and there's no reason you can't scale what you're doing in 10 to price the biggest company in the
[01:05:39] world I mentioned Microsoft started in SMB salesforce.com which is the biggest SaaS company in the world
[01:05:45] started in SMB this is how they beat IBM Oracle and SAP they didn't go not in the door of
[01:05:54] Bank of America when the RFP they went into rogue shadow IT they went in through the departments
[01:06:00] they went through through the side doors and back doors and they got so much market share and so
[01:06:04] much business through SMB that all the sudden Microsoft could walk through the front door
[01:06:12] and what surprised all of us were in three piece suits when some guy in a golf ship walked in
[01:06:17] looking for a million dollars of business out of the bank we laughed at it until it happened
[01:06:24] and then IBM almost didn't make payroll by 1993. The number one stock of the 60s number one stock
[01:06:32] of the 70s number one stock of eight all of a sudden didn't make payroll a few years later
[01:06:38] in a company to a person those are richest in the world that they gave away the farm August
[01:06:44] the 12 1981 two. That's it I mean you laughed until you don't right but winning in SMB is so
[01:06:53] important because that's where you build the volume that's where you build the skills that's what
[01:06:57] you can do at the most cost effectively but start knocking on some of those 500 person firms
[01:07:04] and make them aware of you not just at the key buyer but everywhere and then go start
[01:07:10] departments divisions rogue shadow places within the biggest companies in your region.
[01:07:17] There's no reason you can't do key projects and can't be working on that team of seven
[01:07:23] they can some grunt rolls if you have to but all the size they're already trusted you're in
[01:07:27] that room you're in the room of seven when that GNI project comes at the edge who knows that
[01:07:33] storage he knows the backup and stuff better than you do yeah they're going to sign you up for part
[01:07:39] of that multi million dollar project at 50 67% margins huge difference so that's it I would never laugh
[01:07:48] ever again after almost not make a payroll right I would never laugh again at where people start
[01:07:54] their businesses and how they grow them just as long as they're dedicated to that growth
[01:07:59] and where their customers are interesting I think I could talk forever with you about this J.
[01:08:05] Time permitting I had one more question that should be sound odd but what's what do you feel like
[01:08:10] most people are missing the mark on what's most Mr. understood is it is your future is where
[01:08:15] you know it's maybe it must be related maybe not but where's the part that's just like nobody's
[01:08:20] driving home this part or nobody's paying attention you're sleeping the wheel what are we missing
[01:08:26] well I think there's so many things happening at once you know we pretend to not and it's really hard
[01:08:32] there's so much noise and clutter it's hard to kind of get a level of clarity in the market
[01:08:40] but one of the areas that I do see as a big miss is the majority buyer for every single person
[01:08:47] listening here today this year will convert over to be in a millennial that'll be the majority
[01:08:54] buyer by volume and majority buyer by budget millennials have a different psychology they have a
[01:09:01] different behavior they have a different germinated that they're on last week Google took away the cookie
[01:09:07] in the first 28 moments before they make a purchase with or without you are changing so more than
[01:09:14] just technology changes we can talk about Gen AI and backup all day long it's your customer's
[01:09:19] changing but if you get out in front of that you can actually win in this market because you have a new
[01:09:25] buyer and some of the people that have one in Gen X and one in baby boomers they may also be an
[01:09:33] aging baby boomer you know one job away from retirement or a few years you can start to grow
[01:09:41] based just on demographics and the firmographic changes that are happening and so this is
[01:09:47] the thing that I think we're all missing as we get excited about products and new innovations
[01:09:52] and is the metaverse going to be you know as bait no it failed is Gen AI you know they're
[01:09:58] meta who cares right we're going to have the ability to talk tech and telco we're going to
[01:10:04] reimagine how our customers automate how they communicate how they collaborate how they go to market
[01:10:10] how they do business we're always going to be on top of the layers of technology that that takes
[01:10:17] but we have to be winning in the market and understanding who the buyer is and how they buy
[01:10:22] and getting starting to be psychologists a little bit in terms of understanding these first 28
[01:10:27] moments understanding all the other things that are happening in the market that's what I think is missing
[01:10:32] the most is we take our eyes off our customer too often it happens at events that happens
[01:10:38] too many places that we get just we start smoking our own exhaust and you know we think this new
[01:10:45] product innovation is going to just win on itself yeah and it's going to go and thought it through
[01:10:51] to that meeting you have to have with the customer and convincing them to step on board too
[01:10:56] so it's kind of the in some startups you know the good mentality which is there there are no
[01:11:02] great ideas in the building right you got to get out there make contact with the customer and see
[01:11:08] what they're really thinking and you know no matter how cool your new GNA I think is or whatever
[01:11:13] you're building it matters is only if it solves the problem delivers value and they can actually
[01:11:20] figure out how to get it integrate do something with it well awesome Jay this has been a blessing
[01:11:27] thank you for being here on MSB mindset today I'm sure a lot of folks will want to connect with you
[01:11:32] what's the best way if they want to say hi reach out follow us question etc
[01:11:37] absolutely I'm all over LinkedIn Twitter I guess X Facebook email and you can find them everywhere
[01:11:45] I said I don't go to bed without a zero inbox or with any red circles on my iPhone so
[01:11:51] if you do reach out anyway I'll probably see it okay we'll make sure to get those links in for
[01:11:56] you guys that are listening Jay this has been amazing thank you for being on MSB mindset
[01:12:02] all right thank you so much all right bye



